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PerwaRisFX

Personal Coaching/course To Trade Forex..

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USD/JPY is break the support line..so, saya sell Euro/JPY..EU however become uncertain and unable to break the trendline support

Currency JPY is moderate neutral - strong, so this breakout is due to weak in currency Euro shj and temporary basis..Tak berani hold lama2 sbb market overall still ranging due to monday blues...

dpt cekau 30 pips = 30 USD pun dah cukup sgt..good start for this week.. :rolleyes:

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/Untitleda.jpg[/img]

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Article yg ada kaitan dgn risk aversion today...all stock market drops...USD and JPY being safe heaven today... (understanding market sentiment)

[b]G20 Fissures-eerily Reminiscent of the 1987 Crash Print E-mail
Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by Saxo Bank | Jun 29 10 12:26 GMT
G20 Fissures-eerily Reminiscent of the 1987 Crash

Nick Beecroft, Senior Foreign Exchange Consultant

On 'Black Monday', Monday, October 19, 1987, stock markets from Hong Kong to the US crashed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropping by 508 points to 1738.74 (22.61%).

Those were nervous times; in the weeks preceding the crash the markets had become increasingly concerned about the deterioration in macro-economic indicators, including the US trade deficit and inflation, (uncomfortably high), and the dollar was disturbingly weak, implying imminent increases in US interest rates. US Treasury yields also seemed to be on the point of exploding, but perhaps the straw that broke the camel's back was US Treasury Secretary James Baker's comment over the weekend to the effect that the US would drive the dollar down further, (to address the burgeoning trade deficit), unless the Germans changed their monetary policy, halting interest rate increases, which he believed were stifling growth and causing excessive Deutsche Mark strength.

This very public policy rift between the politicians and central bankers of West's largest economies was extremely unnerving for already febrile markets.

The parallel with the present day is obvious and perhaps very disturbing; i.e. the major rift that was apparent at the recent G20 meeting, with the US cautioning against excessively brutal and precipitate austerity measures and almost unanimous opposition from the nineteen other countries present, who displayed the characteristic zeal of new converts, in this case to fiscal probity.

Moreover, the debate also rages at the very heart of the Obama administration, with Budget Director Peter Orszag resigning last week, ostensibly to spend more time with his family, but by all accounts in reality over his concerns at the US budget deficit trajectory, or rather at the lack of urgency shown by the administration in devising a plan to cut same.

Once again, the main dispute could be said to be between the US and Germany, with the latter intent upon 'hair-shirt' fiscal policies, even though Germany's bunds are still seen as a safe-haven amid Europe's debt crisis, and its budget deficit is a very respectable 60% of GDP.

The last thing the markets need or want right now is to have to face the possibility that the world's finest economic brains are utterly divided as to the best way to proceed. Yes, as in 1987, these are nervous times, as evidenced by the surge in the price of gold. This time the buyers of gold are not primarily driven by fears of inflation, this time they're just party to an all-pervading fear that something very unpleasant is out there, probably driven by the debt crisis, which has now morphed from a private debt problem to the infinitely more worrying sovereign debt variety-as one commentator put it rather pithily recently, 'who's going to bail us out now the governments have run out of money, the Martians?'

This time US should be, and indeed is, more afraid of deflation and a strong US dollar. Judging from the Fed's post-meeting statement last week, and previous meetings' minutes, the FOMC is certainly concerned about the possibility of deflation. A strong dollar will do nothing to help President Obama's plan to double exports over the next five years and it will bear down on inflation.

Right now, the US needs Germany to boost domestic consumption and, as we move further into the second half of this year, the fiscal policy debate between the 'spendthrift' US and 'prudent' Germany/Europe will become ever more heated. Suspicion will grow amongst the usual suspects in Congress that the EU is quietly very happy to see the Euro depreciate massively against the dollar, and soon we will hear strident comparisons with China.

Expect, at best, lack-lustre equity performance, and continuing safe-haven buying of the US dollar and Treasury bonds or, at worst, a crash.[/b]


Saya lewat OP today...arrow di bawah is tempat saya enter..oleh kerana terlewat, saya hanya guna 2nd akaun utk trade ...amik lot 0.01 as risk prevention measures due tak berani buka lot besar...trend sell is strong or maybe going to an end..so saya short juga ..

Market uncertain after reaching zone support...namun, oleh kerana faktor risk aversion yg strong..saya still follow the trend dgn short EJ dan EU..dpt la 40++ pips...bersamaan 0.40 cents USD..(lewat masuk OP )


[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/Untitledo.jpg[/img]

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Mixed sentiment today..so trade highly with cautios..After exceed target 20 pips daily..close!!!

When pair EU, UJ down, EJ double down...watch out candle pattern, bear candle di zone resistence trendline...Sell di resistence (Konsep Support & Resistence) ..UJ pula breakout triangle formation...

saya enter sell walaupun meter strength FX4caster saya menunjukkan Euro still strong..my decision is solely on volume shown by Candle pattern..It never lies... :rolleyes:

EU H1
[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/EUh1e.jpg[/img]

UJ H4
[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/UJH4e.jpg[/img]

EJ H4
[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/ejh4e.jpg[/img]

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EU break trendline...proceed buy...USD weak...part of the breakout strategy yg common..

Urusniaga forex nie senang kalau belajar bersungguh2 dan praktis..takyah susah2 gerak sana sini, meeting sana sini, submit tender sana sini, apply loan sana sini, meroyan sana sini kalau loan tak approve,MARA tak bg bantuan, tak payah cari pekerja indon , tak payah call org sana sini, atau dan sebagainya...

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/eubreak.jpg[/img]

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Last trades yesterday nite...3 hours after NFP news..Sell di Resistence...watchout candle pattern--->Morning Doji Star---> Market uncertain as buyers exhausted after long term uptrend

Rujuk news di bawah (souce: fxstreet.com)...contributed risk averse dan support entry sell.. :rolleyes:


[i][b]Stock Markets Regrouping after Jobs Data

Fri, Jul 2 2010, 16:27 GMT
by James Hyerczyk[/b][/i]


[i]U.S. stocks rallied initially after the release of the U.S. jobs report but this may have been because traders priced in a worse than expected private-sector hiring figure. Nonetheless, the private-sector number missed the consensus so this short-fall is likely to lead to selling pressure at some point during the trading session.

Traders still look a little confused as to what to do with the jobs data. Short-term traders seem to want to rally the market because of technically oversold conditions. Longer-term traders are looking at the bigger picture which leans toward a weaker U.S. jobs outlook for the upcoming months.

Expect volatility today because of the expected clash between short-term traders and long-term investors. Don’t be surprised by a strong short-covering rally because of oversold conditions and position liquidation ahead of the three-day holiday.

Like equity traders, September Treasury Bond and Treasury Note traders seem to be searching for something concrete from the jobs report to base their trading decisions. The first reaction was to rally Treasuries following the release of the bad jobs data, but there hasn’t been much of a follow-through to the upside following the initial surge. This muted reaction could be because investors may have already priced in the bad number.

The U.S. Dollar took a hit this morning following the release of the worse than expected June Non-Farm Payrolls Report. Going into the report, investors were looking for total jobless claims to fall 130,000. The actual number was -125,000.

More important to investors however was the number of private-sector jobs created. Pre-report estimates were for an increase of 115,000 jobs in the private-sector. The government was expected to say it released about 250.000 temporary Census workers last month. The actual hiring by the private sector was 83,000 jobs. This number was disappointing to traders.

Today’s bearish report comes on the heels of a rise in weekly U.S. Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday along with a fall in home sales and a weak reading of a key manufacturing index.

Today’s negative reaction to the Dollar was in contrast to the recent pattern which showed a tendency toward flight to safety buying by investors following weaker U.S. economic news. Traders in the past had treated bad U.S. economic news as a bump in the road to recovery but the recent string of bad news has led investors to believe that a weaker trend is developing in the economy.[/i]

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/wq.jpg[/img]

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/wqz.jpg[/img]

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Semalam US cuti...so hari nie kembali sambung trade spt biasa...

first pos..enter petg tadi ketika Euro strong...candle pattern pierce line atau bull engulfing formed di zone support..

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/buyeuej2-1.jpg[/img]

2nd post...enter 1 hour tadi...USD weak, break the resistence line...rujuk time frame H1...ini di bantu dgn sentiment risk appetite

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/buyeu3-1.jpg[/img]

p/s; utk basic trading style yg saya coach, hanya fokus di time frame H4 dan H1...H4 menunjukkan daily trend dan H1 menunjukkan 4Hour trend...

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JPY weak..break the zone resistence and direct upward..di support oleh faktor fundamental (unemployment claims) dan intermarket correlation, saya buy pair Eur/JPY..

71 pips using micro account.. :rolleyes:

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/jpyweak3.jpg[/img]

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Dah lama tinggalkan fx sejak lost gila2 dulu hehehe.
Bro pakai flatform apa ek.. hitam hijau je indi tu.. real live trade or EA ek

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[quote name='King ultimatezezs-SE' date='11 July 2010 - 01:23 PM' timestamp='1278829385' post='1041312']
Dah lama tinggalkan fx sejak lost gila2 dulu hehehe.
Bro pakai flatform apa ek.. hitam hijau je indi tu.. real live trade or EA ek
[/quote]

dlm ss nie...ada yg real ada yg demo...kalau saya ceta breakout..saya pakai real..kalau ceta divergence, either demo or real live...salah satu sbb trading divergence nie bahaya sket :rolleyes:

no EA

Regular bullish divergence kat Eur/USD timeframe 4-Hour...price buat lower low dan stoch buat higher high..candle pattern bull engulfing verify the pattern spt yg di tunjukkan oleh anak panah..

market sentiment--->trade balance US merosot-->intermarket, stock n oil naik drove usd n jpy weak-->bullish market semalam.. :rolleyes:

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/divergenceforexhunt1.jpg[/img]

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Last trade this week...Saya Buy EU lewat malam semalam sbb lihat candle EU di TF H1, H4 dan Daily dan breakout dr triangle formation..

supported by fundamental ccy EUro yg strong towards..saya akan hold this position ...

mark 1 (red) adalah gelombang 1 dan mark 2 (red) adalah gelombang wave 2... kiraan Elliot Wave saya...now constructing wave 3 which must be never shorter dan wave 1 and wave 5 later... :rolleyes:

daily time frame (menunjukkan weekly trend)
[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/buyeureal.gif[/img]

hourly time frame...breakout triangle..at the time post this, last candle sdg break zone resistence 1
[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/buyeurealh1.gif[/img]


saya akan berada di JB next whole week..sapa2 di sana dan yg berada di sekitar kawasannya..boleh hubungi saya di 0123576124 kalau nak belajar... :rolleyes:

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late sell ..dpt secure beberapa pips..oleh kerana dah exceed daily average, enter lot kecik2...Euro weak...sharp downtrend..follow current trend di H1 yg match dgn trend di H4

adakah wave 3 sedg konstruktif??

"risk aversion strikes back"

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/selleuroweakdemo.jpg[/img]

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Testimoni dr seorg coached students serta screenshotnya.... (print screen version dr hotmail.com) :)

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/untitled-2.jpg[/img]

[img]http://i465.photobucket.com/albums/rr16/PerWaris/demo2207.jpg[/img]

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DI SINI ADA PERKHIDMATAN LELONG ROBOT EA + INDICATOR + E BOOK FOREX
Disiplin + Sabar + Jangan Tamak + Money management = successful forex traders

Sebagai forex trader yang berpengalaman, saya mempunyai banyak indicator dan Robot EA
yang telah saya beli.
kini saya nak share dengan semua traders di malaysia, tapi klu nak, saya bagi TERMURAH, kita sama2 nak berjaya dalam forex.


Antara indicator & Robot EA yang hendak saya kongsi kn :

Indicator: Kuasa forex, fxpro, daily swing, winning signal v9.

Robot EA: Dragonpips, hedge+martingle ea, Robocop FXS, Fx pro Expert & Forex magic machine.

Oleh itu, saya sediakan pakej2 berikut :

1) e-book forex + 2 indicator(pilihan) + 1 robot EA(pilihan) = RM 30

2) e-book forex + 3 indicator(pilihan) + 2 robot EA(pilihan) = RM 50

3) 3 indicator(pilihan) + 4 robot EA(pilihan) = RM 70

*pilih sahaja antara yang saya sebut diatas megikut pakej2 nya ok.

Bagi yang telah pro dalam forex, kalau nak cuba CREATE YOUR OWN EA,
saya ada software VISUAL TRADERS STUDIO yang berharga 147USD
tapi klu nak share saya boleh bagi RM70 sahaja ok.
saya pun baru beli juga, blum expert lagi nak buat robot sendiri ni...



contact :
email - [email protected]
sms - 010 5824383
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